For the first time since Democrats in Congress passed the health care bill in March, a majority of U.S. voters believe the measure is likely to be repealed.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters think it is at least somewhat likely that the health care plan will be repealed. Thirty-three percent (33%) view repeal as unlikely. Those figures include 16% who believe repeal is Very Likely and 5% who believe it is Not at All Likely. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The number who view repeal as Likely is up from 47% last month and from 38% in early April. Belief that the plan is likely to be repealed has been hovering in the 40% range in surveys since April but began to rise in late October. Last week, a federal judge found a key provision in the law to be unconstitutional.
Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters now favor repeal of the health care law, including 40% who Strongly Favor it. Forty-one percent (41%) are opposed to repeal, with 31% Strongly Opposed. Support for repeal has ranged from 50% to 63% in weekly tracking since the bill became law in late March. Last week, support for repeal was at 60%.
Scott Rasmussen explains how a U.S. Supreme Court decision declaring some or all of it unconstitutional could actually work to President Obama’s advantage in the 2012 election.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on December 17-18, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Forty-three percent (43%) of voters say repeal of the health care bill would be good for the economy, but 33% disagree and think it would be bad for America. Twelve percent (12%) say repeal would have no impact, and another 12% are undecided.
Belief that repeal will be good for the economy has ranged from 42% to 50% since April.
However, confidence that repeal of the health care plan will create new jobs is at a new low. Twenty-five percent (25%) say repeal would be a job creator, but 31% don’t believe that’s true. Forty-three percent (43%) aren’t sure.
Prior to this survey, belief in repeal as a creator of jobs has ranged from 26% to 33% since April.
Still, a plurality (49%) of voters think the health care plan will be bad for the county. Forty percent (40%) disagree and think it will be good for the country. Two percent (2%) say it will have no impact.
Since late March, those who think the law will be bad for the country have ranged from a low of 48% to a high of 57%. Those who think it will be good for America have run from 33% to 41% in the same period.
A survey early last month found that voters overwhelmingly believe the new Republican-controlled House of Representatives is likely to vote to repeal the health care law.
Most Tea Party members also think the candidates they elected, all of whom oppose the health care measure, will remain true to their beliefs and not become just like other politicians in Washington, D.C.
With the Republican takeover of the House driven in part by widespread opposition to the health care law, debate is already heavy in Washington over whether the new GOP majority will push for full repeal of the measure. But 52% of voters think Congress should review the health care bill piece by piece and keep the parts it likes.
Despite the tax cut deal worked out by the president and senior congressional Republicans, many Americans still feel the two sides aren’t working hard enough to get along.